Satoshi
Countdown

Twenty one million. No more. Ever.

Live supply, fiat expansion, and the policy fights that decide whether hard money gets a fair market. One thesis: absolute scarcity.

Read the thesis CLARITY Act tracker
Sats remaining to mine
89,975,312,500,000
899,753.13 BTC left · 95.72% of supply mined · about 2140 final sat

News & insights

What the desk is watching

Nine live pulls across Bitcoin, policy, and macro. Source diverse, topical first.

Wire CoinDesk

SEC tokenized stock framework faces issuer pushback as Broadcom, Verizon object to OKX-ICE listing

Eight more companies objected to trading on the planned OKX-ICE venue, while Nasdaq has separately said it would opt out under the SEC’s fra…
Wire Cointelegraph

Richard Heart caught ‘off-guard,’ QDay gets even closer: Hodler’s Digest

HEX founder Richard Heart detained in early morning raid in Istanbul, Starknet plunges almost 50% as it votes to become an L1, and Bitwise s…
Wire CryptoSlate

Zcash’s planned Sprout freeze would leave private keys unable to move funds

NU7 would leave legacy funds issued but unspendable, even with intact keys, while the mainnet activation decision remains pending. Read the …
Wire CoinDesk

The White House's crypto chief departs: State of Crypto

Patrick Witt announced his departure from the White House last week.
Wire CryptoSlate

Fidelity’s $500,000 crypto settlement leaves IRAs outside wallet-transfer terms

The California agreement requires notice if Fidelity ends its retail transfer feature, while preserving security restrictions and IRA exclus…
Wire Decrypt

MapQuest Now Shows Drivers Where Flock Cameras Are Watching

MapQuest’s app now offers an optional map layer that plots known license plate readers from Flock Safety and other vendors, as backlash agai…
Wire Decrypt

Bitcoin ETFs Shed Nearly $1 Billion in Two Weeks as Uptober Stays Red

Bitcoin ETFs lost a net $228.6 million this week, following a $681.1 million drain the week before and pushing October deep into the red.
Wire Cointelegraph

Here’s what happened in crypto today

Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, We…
Wire Cointelegraph

Most Americans polled oppose betting on elections: Reuters

The prediction market industry enables people to bet on US ‌elections and sporting events.

The Bitcoin thesis

Hard money in a soft money world

Bitcoin is absolute scarcity competing with politically expandable money. Fixed issuance. Soft money as policy. Markets that either clear the path or push liquidity abroad.

  • Fixed issuance schedule

    Subsidy halves every 210,000 blocks. Current reward 3.125 BTC → 1.5625 BTC at block 1,050,000 (about 541 days).

  • Fiat is a policy choice

    M2, deficits, and rate regimes change with politics. Bitcoin’s monetary policy is client consensus, not a committee vote.

  • Rules need markets

    CLARITY style market structure and executive posture decide whether U.S. capital can treat BTC as a first class asset, or leave liquidity offshore.

Protocol desk

BIPs & the reference client

Bitcoin Improvement Proposals are how the network documents design changes. Read them clearly, then follow the code where consensus actually ships.

Cornerstone proposals

  • BIP 42

    Finite monetary supply. The 21 million cap written into the process.

  • BIP 141

    Segregated Witness. Capacity and malleability fixes at the consensus layer.

  • BIP 340

    Schnorr signatures for secp256k1. Cleaner multisig and aggregation path.

  • BIP 341

    Taproot. Script privacy and efficiency for modern spending paths.

  • BIP 3

    Updated BIP process. How proposals move from draft toward deployment.

Policy radar

CLARITY Act & Trump alerts

Regulation and the White House set the institutional on ramp. Track the bill. Watch the headlines that move odds.

Passed House · Awaiting Senate floor

H.R. 3633 · Digital Asset Market Clarity Act

A market structure bill that would split SEC and CFTC oversight of digital commodities, set registration paths for intermediaries, and constrain a Fed retail CBDC. Separate from the enacted GENIUS Act on stablecoins.

As of mid July 2026, Senate Banking reported a substitute on Jun 1. Floor vote faces a tight window before the roughly Aug 7 recess. Midterms make a 2026 slip costly.

  1. Introduced May 29, 2025
  2. Passed House Jul 17, 2025 · 294 to 134
  3. Senate Banking reported Jun 1, 2026
  4. Senate floor vote Pending
  5. To President Pending
  6. Became law Pending
Open on Congress.gov →

Trump & Bitcoin alerts

Executive crypto posture, PAC flows, and ethics fights that spill into CLARITY.

No Trump or Bitcoin alerts in the latest pull. Refresh shortly.

Bitcoin treasuries

Who holds the stack

Public companies, private firms, governments, ETFs and exchanges, and DeFi wrappers. Five ledgers of capital that treats Bitcoin as reserve.

4,189,633 BTC across five ledgers As of July 2026
1,263,186 BTC tracked in category 197 entities Listed companies holding BTC on the balance sheet.
# Holder Ticker / code BTC Est. USD
1 Strategy United States MSTR 843,775 $69.25B
2 Twenty One Capital United States XXI 43,514 $3.57B
3 Metaplanet Inc. Japan MPJPY 43,000 $3.53B
4 MARA Holdings United States MARA 36,303 $2.98B
5 Bitcoin Standard Treasury United States BSTR 30,021 $2.46B
6 Bullish United States BLSH 24,300 $1.99B
7 Strive United States ASST 19,921 $1.63B
8 SpaceX United States SPCX 18,712 $1.54B
9 Coinbase Global United States COIN 16,492 $1.35B
10 Riot Platforms United States RIOT 15,680 $1.29B
11 CleanSpark United States CLSK 13,924 $1.14B
12 Tesla United States TSLA 11,509 $944.5M
13 Hut 8 United States HUT 10,278 $843.5M
14 Trump Media & Technology United States DJT 9,542 $783.1M
15 Block United States XYZ 9,032 $741.2M

Holdings as of July 2026. Figures change with disclosures. Not financial advice.

World acceptance

Where Bitcoin is welcome

From El Salvador’s curso legal experiment to bans and strategic interest. Policy geography for hard money.

Loading map…

  • Curso legal / voluntary tender
  • Strategic reserve interest
  • Legal and regulated
  • Restricted
  • Banned or hostile

Prediction markets

Bitcoin & economy odds

Live odds for Bitcoin price paths, CLARITY Act passage, and related macro bets. Crowd priced signals next to the news wire.

Bitcoin $8.46M vol

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

$1.56M liq · 20 markets · ends Nov 1, 2026

Top 5 selections

  1. Reach $82,500 92.5%
  2. Dip to $80,000 66.5%
  3. Reach $85,000 59.5%
  4. Dip to $77,500 37.5%
  5. Reach $87,500 33.5%
Bitcoin $1.49M vol

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

$1.06M liq · 14 markets · ends Oct 19, 2026

Top 5 selections

  1. Dip to $80,000 2.6%
  2. Reach $84,000 1.7%
  3. Dip to $78,000 0.4%
  4. Reach $86,000 0.3%
  5. Reach $98,000 0.1%
Fed $1.11M vol

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

$387.8K liq · 5 markets · ends Jan 1, 2027

Top 5 selections

  1. 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 67.5%
  2. 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026 22.5%
  3. 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 10.2%
  4. 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 0.8%
  5. 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 0.3%
Bitcoin $552.7K vol

Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?

$569.4K liq · 11 markets · ends Oct 19, 2026

Top 5 selections

  1. Above $72,000 100%
  2. Above $74,000 99.9%
  3. Above $76,000 99.7%
  4. Above $78,000 98.6%
  5. Above $80,000 93.5%
CLARITY $316.1K vol

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$211.7K liq · 15 markets · ends Jan 2, 2027

Top 5 selections

  1. Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 10.5%
  2. Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 9.4%
  3. Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 8.4%
  4. Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 7.7%
  5. Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 7.5%
CLARITY $137.7K vol

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$3.4K liq · 8 markets · ends Jan 2, 2027

Top 5 selections

  1. over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 7%
  2. over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 7%
  3. over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 6.5%
  4. over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 6%
  5. over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 5.7%

Odds refresh on each page load. Not financial advice.

The wire

Bitcoin & macro headlines

Fresh headlines on Bitcoin, policy, and macro. Filtered toward scarcity, regulation, and the money that competes with a fixed supply.

CryptoSlate

Claude unpicks an NSA mystery behind Ethereum passkey security

Anthropic’s timestamp recipe reconstructs P-256’s public seed, adding provenance evidence while leaving selection criteria and base-point origins unexplained. Read the full story on CryptoSlate Understand the crypto stor…

Cointelegraph

Here’s what happened in crypto today

Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.

Macro lens

Price, money supply, debt

The charts that frame the thesis: Bitcoin versus expanding dollars and national debt.

Bitcoin

Absolute scarcity priced in dollars

M2 money supply

Expanding claims on goods & assets

U.S. national debt

Fiscal path Bitcoin is measured against

Supply clock

Mining progress

95.72% of the 21M supply mined · 899,753.13 BTC remaining

Block reward
3.125 BTC
Blocks to halving
77,921
Difficulty
132.72T
Est. days to halving
~541